Match simulator

Build any matchup and run the real MetricKick goal model (Poisson + Dixon-Coles) live. Probabilities, expected goals, scorelines and markets — computed in your browser.

Home teamvsAway team

Neutral venue (no home advantage)

Match outcome

1. FC Heidenheim win35%

Draw19%

1. FC Köln win46%

1.96 – 2.26

Expected goals

1–2

Most likely score

79%

Over 2.5

77%

BTTS

Markets

Home or draw54%

Away or draw65%

Draw no bet (home)43%

Over 2.5 goals79%

Under 2.5 goals21%

BTTS yes77%

Most likely scorelines

1–27%

2–27%

1–17%

2–16%

1–36%

Simulations are an analytical tool based on recent goal-rates, not a guarantee of any outcome. 18+