Transparent performance
We publish every result — wins and losses.
Closing line value, ROI, average odds and calibration are tracked openly. No cherry-picked screenshots, no hidden record.
-10.1%
ROI per pick
60.3%
Win rate
3.23
Average odds
11%
CLV beat rate
Share of picks beating the close
282
Graded picks
+0.0%
Average CLV
0.156
Brier score
Forecast accuracy (lower is better)
By competition
Calibration
A well-calibrated model's predicted probabilities match how often those outcomes actually happen. Each bar compares predicted vs actual hit rate.
Bucket 1 · n=3predicted 6% · actual 0%
Bucket 2 · n=22predicted 16% · actual 9%
Bucket 3 · n=21predicted 25% · actual 14%
Bucket 4 · n=14predicted 34% · actual 21%
Bucket 5 · n=25predicted 45% · actual 36%
Bucket 6 · n=31predicted 55% · actual 55%
Bucket 7 · n=58predicted 66% · actual 69%
Bucket 8 · n=55predicted 75% · actual 82%
Bucket 9 · n=42predicted 84% · actual 95%
Bucket 10 · n=11predicted 93% · actual 100%
Predictions are informational and never guaranteed. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Bet responsibly and only where legal. 18+ · BeGambleAware.